Much Better

Ok, this is going to be short and sweet because I have to be up in a few hours as I'm off to Prague for a few days, so I need to get to bed. Betfair headquaters have fortunately flicked the switch back on for me. I'm back to winning ways and made a decent profit this week. I probably won't get a chance to play again this month, so my 6pak ROI will probably end as it stands now, which is 33.23%. Even better than last month so I'm pretty pleased.

More detail to come once I'm back from Prague......

Spoke Too Soon

This past week everything has pretty much been the opposite to last. I'm now struggling to win most 80/20's let alone a 50/50. But hey you gotta take the rough with the smooth I guess. At least my ROI is starting to look a little more realistic.

It all turned basically straight after my last post, starting with last Sunday's tournies. I lasted an impressive 10 minutes in the Betfair £40k gt'd. Great start. So I decide to just enter the stars $500k tourney later, rather than doing a few others aswell. I hadn't entered this tourney for a good couple of months until last week. It always has an exteremely large field, which makes making the FT a real long shot let alone winning the damn thing. But with such big money on offer its worth a shot. Well last week was ridiculous, with a $1.1mill prize pool. That's 5,500 entrants. You've got just about the same chance of winning the world series. Maybe they need to add a regular tourney with a bigger buyin, which would provide more value.

Ok, I wasn't going to add any hand histories from the past week, to try and keep a bad beat free zone as I had been running pretty well in general recently and should have no reason to complain. But I'm in a few £60 6-pak's at the moment and just can't resist...

Level 3 - 4 left - 25/50 blinds - Button (2k stack) makes it 200. Sb (700 stack) flat calls. I'm in the BB with KK and move in for 1.5k. The button calls with A9dd, as does the SB with Q9ss. Last card out is an ace and I'm gone. Of course this kinda thing happens all the time, so it's no big deal. But just an example of how things are running right now. Plus a way to vent my frustration at such a shocking call getting paid off!

Ok, and as we speak, heads up 200/400 blinds. Me 3.1k to his 2.9k. I'm dealt AA in the BB and he min raises to 800. I just call. Flop comes 10 9 3. I check. He moves in with the mighty 10 4 and the 10 on the river cripples me. I guess when things just aren't destined to go your way there's nothing you can do to change it!

Anyway, enough of the bad beats. I just couldn't resist as they were happening to me as I was typing up this blog! This month I STILL haven't managed to put many hours in, despite the fact that I keep saying I will. Well I'm definately putting in this week. How much you make in the long run is basically dependant on how many hands, or in my case tournements, you play. So as I keep saying, but failing to put into practice, I MUST start playing more!!

Running Well

I haven't managed to put in anywhere close to the hours proposed so far for this month. I guess I just still don't have the poker bug at the moment. However, the few tournements I have played in have brought decent results. Although still a pretty small sample, I've managed to get my ROI for 6pak's in 2006 up to 39.43% now. Noteably I've got almost 3 times as many first places as second's, which I guess is what has accounted for this ROI. This must mean that I'm winning most of my 50/50's at the moment. Unsuprisingly I hadn't noticed this and was actually thinking I keep getting screwed over in the final few until I noticed this stat. An obvious case of selective memory. Of course when the shoe is on the other foot I can recall every 50/50 I've lost in the past week. I'm sure everyone does it. When things are going well you just assume you're getting your normal quota of luck which you deserve, but when things go wrong its unbelievable bad luck on your part. Anyway, long may this "lucky streak" continue.

I'm planning on playing a few of the sunday biggies tonight. Well I'm already going in the Sunday40k on betfair and will almost definately play the Stars $750k too. Whether I bother with any others or not remains to be seen. I'll be trying to rack up a few more 6paks at the same time and hopefully keep my ROI up at a ridiculous level. Although of course I know as soon as I have actually recorded a decent amount of 6paks the figure will be no-where near where it's at now. Until then ....

January Summary

Back around christmas time I was sent a new P+L spreadsheet by someone off the betfair forum. It's a lot more detailed than the one I set up myself a few months back and after a few adaptations is pretty much perfect to record accurately what I need (if anyone wants a copy just ask). I definately intend to keep track using this spreadsheet for the whole of this year. I started to do so back in september last year but that only lasted a month. This ones quite a lot easier to use than mine was though so hopefully as it's less effort I won't get complacent this time.

Onto January's records...

£60 6pak Results:
Total Played = 69
Profit = £1296
ROI = 28.46%

Total Profit = £907
Hours played = 19
Hourly rate = £48/hr

So nothing special happened in January. But I was pleased with the profit made from the few hours I did manage to get in. I think this ROI is pretty high for 6paks, but I'm not really too sure cause I have never really worked out my ROI before. Of course my sample so far is tiny though so only time will tell. If I can carry on this way though while playing a lot more then I should be able to turn in a pretty tidy profit.